If Bama wins out, they're in. Especially if MSU wins out after Bama. Judging by everything that the committee has done so far, there is no way to justify leaving them out. The committee has also shown that just because you're undefeated doesn't mean you're automatically best either. If you're going by Sagarin Ratings when looking at who has the most difficult schedule, Auburn is #2, Alabama is #3, MSU is #45 and FSU is #51. FSU's best win is against a then #5 ranked team that has since lost another game by 24 points. Outside of that, they have wins against then #22 and #25 teams; one of which has dropped out of the top 25.
I could see them leaving FSU out due to their easy schedule. They would probably lose 2-3 games if they were in the SECW.
So, in your scenario, Bama and MSU could make it? I can't see an undefeated FSU drooping out, or any other team that doesn't lose.
I'm thinking the margin of victory factors more for Bama than State. If State barely wins, they are good. If Bama barely wins, I don't know that State drops out and Bama replaces them.
Maybe so but it looks like the old "if you're going to lose, lose early" may still apply.
Maybe if you're in now, you stay in as long as you keep winning, regardless of margin. It will be interesting.
I didn't want us to win the west, while we were still in the top 4. Now, that looks like our only option is to win the SEC, so I'm all in for the ATL. I don't have any trouble pulling for Bama Saturday but I'm not banking on all of the wins that have to happen in order for us to make it.