I keep hearing this about Bridgewater but all I've seen is a schedule full of patsies the last 2 years and losses to Syracuse, UConn and UCF. He didn't throw or run any at the combine. And has proclaimed he's the best qb at the draft. Personally, all of that combined is a yellow flag.
We know what Manziel is. Would anyone seriously take Teddy over JFF with the game on the line? Dude is a gamer. Bridgewater has yet to impress against anyone worth a crap. Sorry but fla isn't worth a crap. I just think many are overhyping this kid. Maybe he will pan out. But I don't see anything at this point that screams sure fire #1 pick.
You have to consider who he's up against as consideration for "top QB." Blake Bortles (UCF) and Derek Carr (Fresno State) also had schedules full of patsies. Granted, I didn't watch either of them play in 2013, but I'm not aware of them being outstanding against their sub-par competition. Statistically speaking, Bortles is behind both of them quite handily. Carr is much closer to Bridgewater, but Bridgewater's raw and adjusted QBR was higher than Carr each year from 2011 to 2013, as was his passer rating in 2012 and 2013.
Then you've got McCarron. Fewer yards thrown in 2013 than the three above. Also a bad TD:INT ratio, although not as bad as Bortles. And arguably any stats that McCarron was able to put up were mostly due to being surrounded by talent.
Manziel's passing yards are about the same as Bridgewater's but his TD:INT ratio is almost as bad as Bortles. So statistically speaking, Manziel comes off as making bad decisions when on the run and slinging the ball. His number of sacks is pretty high, within 4 of Bridgewater and 2 of Bortles, so there's little difference there.
The stats have Carr, Manziel, and Bridgewater pretty close, but I think Carr gets discounted due to potentially skewed stats from a Fresno State schedule; even with his solid combine performance, I don't think he's projected to go until late in the first round or early second. I don't think Bridgewater is the
clear top choice, but given that it's primarily between him and Manziel, I think most teams see Manziel as more of a risk due to his lack of size and tendency to run the ball. For an investor, that's an injury waiting to happen. When you combine this with a bad TD:INT ratio for both of the past two seasons, Manziel seems inferior to Bridgewater in many ways.