ESPN 2013 SEC Projections

The Six · « **on:** May 07, 2013, 02:10:31 PM »

ESPN projections for 2013, based on team projections; offense and defensive efficiency; and likelihood of w/l in each scheduled game (which produced the projected record and win total range).

Schedule outcomes based on probability of a win after 1,000 simulated seasons.

West:
1. Alabama Crimson Tide
Projected finish: 11-1
Win total range: 10-2 to 12-0
Chance to win SEC: 62 percent

2. LSU Tigers
Projected finish: 9-3
Win total range: 7-5 to 11-1
Chance to win SEC: 8 percent

3. Texas A&M Aggies
Projected finish: 9-3
Win total range: 7-5 to 11-1
Chance to win SEC: 5 percent

4. Ole Miss Rebels
Projected finish: 7-5
Win total range: 5-7 to 9-3
Chance to win SEC: 1 percent

5. Auburn Tigers
Projected finish: 6-6
Win total range: 4-8 to 8-4
Chance to win SEC: 0 percent

6. Mississippi State Bulldogs
Projected finish: 5-7
Win total range: 3-9 to 7-5
Chance to win SEC: 0 percent

7. Arkansas Razorbacks
Projected finish: 5-7
Win total range: 3-9 to 7-5
Chance to win SEC: 0 percent

East:
1. South Carolina Gamecocks
Projected finish: 9-3
Win total range: 7-5 to 11-1
Chance to win SEC: 10 percent

2. Georgia Bulldogs
Projected finish: 9-3
Win total range: 7-5 to 11-1
Chance to win SEC: 7 percent

3. Florida Gators
Projected finish: 9-3
Win total range: 7-5 to 11-1
Chance to win SEC: 7 percent

4. Missouri Tigers
Projected finish: 7-5
Win total range: 4-8 to 9-3
Chance to win SEC: 0 percent

5. Vanderbilt Commodores
Projected finish: 6-6
Win total range: 4-8 to 8-4
Chance to win SEC: 0 percent

6. Tennessee Volunteers
Projected finish: 5-7
Win total range: 3-9 to 7-5
Chance to win SEC: 0 percent

7. Kentucky Wildcats
Projected finish: 4-8
Win total range: 2-10 to 6-6
Chance to win SEC: 0 percent

WiregrassTiger · « **Reply #1 on:** May 07, 2013, 02:19:53 PM »

They are short-selling us by a spot.

AWK · « **Reply #2 on:** May 07, 2013, 03:04:52 PM »

Playing devil's advocate here, but until we actually beat an SEC team we should be ranked last...no?

dallaswareagle · « **Reply #3 on:** May 07, 2013, 03:06:25 PM »

Well that is just a giant suck sandwich, us between the Mississippi schools.

AWK · « **Reply #4 on:** May 07, 2013, 03:07:44 PM »

Quote

Chance to win SEC: 0 percent

While this may be true...lulz, wut?

War Eagle!!! · « **Reply #5 on:** May 07, 2013, 03:20:53 PM »

Quote from: AWK on May 07, 2013, 03:07:44 PM

While this may be true...lulz, wut?

So what are the chances? Like 1 in a 100? 1 in a million?

No. Zero.

dallaswareagle · « **Reply #6 on:** May 07, 2013, 03:21:48 PM »

Chance to win SEC: 0 percent

Quote from: AWK on May 07, 2013, 03:07:44 PM

While this may be true...lulz, wut?

I thought it was a little high myself.

Godfather · « **Reply #7 on:** May 07, 2013, 03:24:44 PM »

Quote from: War Eagle!!! on May 07, 2013, 03:20:53 PM

So what are the chances? Like 1 in a 100? 1 in a million?

No. Zero.

So you are saying that we have a chance...

Buzz Killington · « **Reply #8 on:** May 07, 2013, 04:26:39 PM »

Quote from: Godfather on May 07, 2013, 03:24:44 PM

So you are saying that we have a chance...

bottomfeeder · « **Reply #9 on:** May 07, 2013, 04:28:11 PM »

I'd bet the odds this year of us taking the SEC by storm. Just sayin', I will bet the odds just because I can.

did you guys see this shit?

http://www.wistv.com/story/20555806/vegas-odds-clemson-has-better-chance-to-win-2013-14-national-championship

200/1 odds of us winning the BCS.

http://www.nsawins.com/college-football-futures-betting-odds.shtml

AUChizad · « **Reply #10 on:** May 07, 2013, 06:21:24 PM »

Quote from: bottomfeeder on May 07, 2013, 04:28:11 PM

I'd bet the odds this year of us taking the SEC by storm. Just sayin', I will bet the odds just because I can.

did you guys see this shit?

http://www.wistv.com/story/20555806/vegas-odds-clemson-has-better-chance-to-win-2013-14-national-championship

200/1 odds of us winning the BCS.

http://www.nsawins.com/college-football-futures-betting-odds.shtml

Already put $20 down in Vegas. For realz.

As far as the 0 percent shit, it is extra laughable when compared with Bama's "chances" compared to everyone else's. Why is anyone besides Bama even playing the games this year?

Quote

Alabama Crimson Tide
Chance to win SEC: 62 percent

South Carolina Gamecocks
Chance to win SEC: 10 percent

LSU Tigers
Chance to win SEC: 8 percent

Georgia Bulldogs
Chance to win SEC: 7 percent

Florida Gators
Chance to win SEC: 7 percent

Texas A&M Aggies
Chance to win SEC: 5 percent

Ole Miss Rebels
Chance to win SEC: 1 percent

Auburn Tigers
Chance to win SEC: 0 percent

Mississippi State Bulldogs
Chance to win SEC: 0 percent

Arkansas Razorbacks
Chance to win SEC: 0 percent

Missouri Tigers
Chance to win SEC: 0 percent

Vanderbilt Commodores
Chance to win SEC: 0 percent

Tennessee Volunteers
Chance to win SEC: 0 percent

Kentucky Wildcats
Chance to win SEC: 0 percent

So exactly half the SEC have a 0/âˆž chance of winning the conference.

To be so specific with those percentages, someone doesn't understand how probability works.

bottomfeeder · « **Reply #11 on:** May 07, 2013, 06:43:32 PM »

Quote from: AUChizad on May 07, 2013, 06:21:24 PM

Already put $20 down in Vegas. For realz.

As far as the 0 percent shit, it is extra laughable when compared with Bama's "chances" compared to everyone else's. Why is anyone besides Bama even playing the games this year?

So exactly half the SEC have a 0/âˆž chance of winning the conference.

To be so specific with those percentages, someone doesn't understand how probability works.

I agree. I took Probability and Statistics at Springhill College and I can tell you guys right now that bammer will not three-peat this year. TAMU will embarrass them again this year. Ole MIss and LSU have an outside chance to embarrass them too. AU has a chance you outscore Saban's dynasty, and I can actually see it happening this year, just sayn'.

The Prowler · « **Reply #12 on:** May 07, 2013, 07:17:56 PM »

I love their win total range...

0-12 to 12-0 (somewhere in between)

Probably a couple of the RECSPN uat alum that put the projections together, with the help of Danny Sheridan of course.

RWS · « **Reply #13 on:** May 07, 2013, 07:48:05 PM »

Quote from: bottomfeeder on May 07, 2013, 06:43:32 PM

TAMU will embarrass them again this year.

Saban is too much of a dick to let a team beat him two years in a row. It doesn't happen very often. I think Alabama is going to take a shit in aTm's front yard.

Quote

Ole MIss and LSU have an outside chance to embarrass them too.

You might think I'm crazy, but I think that Ole Miss has a better chance at beating Alabama than LSU does.

bottomfeeder · « **Reply #14 on:** May 07, 2013, 07:53:58 PM »

Quote from: RWS on May 07, 2013, 07:48:05 PM

You might think I'm crazy, but I think that Ole Miss has a better chance at beating Alabama than LSU does.

I don't think you're crazy, I think you're a bammer.

jmar · « **Reply #15 on:** May 07, 2013, 08:23:04 PM »

Quote from: bottomfeeder on May 07, 2013, 07:53:58 PM

I don't think you're crazy, I think you're a bammer.

We still suck until we don't.
We haven't been competitive and there is no easy fix from the fucking bottom.

RWS · « **Reply #16 on:** May 07, 2013, 08:24:40 PM »

Quote from: jmar on May 07, 2013, 08:23:04 PM

We still suck until we don't.
We haven't been competitive and there is no easy fix from the fucking bottom.

Auburn will be at least an 8 win team this season.

Vandy Vol · « **Reply #17 on:** May 07, 2013, 08:32:00 PM »

Quote from: RWS on May 07, 2013, 08:24:40 PM

Auburn will be at least an 8 win team this season.

Unless they don't.

RWS · « **Reply #18 on:** May 07, 2013, 08:37:03 PM »

Quote from: Vandy Vol on May 07, 2013, 08:32:00 PM

Unless they don't.

They'll beat Vandy.

jmar · « **Reply #19 on:** May 07, 2013, 08:37:53 PM »

Quote from: RWS on May 07, 2013, 08:24:40 PM

Auburn will be at least an 8 win team this season.

I've always respected your opinion but you must be gunning for Token's spot as the kindest, most gentle turd. Eight wins from three previous with our blocking and tackling...