i agree with you, he's probably the best choice of the candidates. If Hillary or Obama get elected, we will surely go in recession with all the government spending they propose and higher taxes they'll try to get through Congress (which is democratic at the moment)
I think much of the recession talk is generated by the Main Stream Media. They constantly report on things such as: rising oil prices, the housing market, food prices going up, etc etc. All of these things should be reported on, the American people should be informed. But the media doesn't need to constantly "scare" people with recession chatter. An average American constantly being bombarded with 'recession' talk will not spend as much money, and become more conservative with investments, spending, etc. This slowing of monetary circulation slows the economy which can help push the country towards a true recession. Multiply it by millions of Americans, and you have a slowing of the economy. This is why Bush is giving everyone $600 this year from the tax thing, hoping everyone will go out and spend it, giving a jump start to the economy. who knows if will work.
John McCain is probably jumping on the alarmist band wagon for now and then come later this year, (probably late summer) he'll start offering 'solutions.' It will sound a lot like his Iraq "surge" bullshit when he said Pres. Bush's strategy wouldn't work, so he came up with the surge strategy, and wow, look, it is working. We all know McCain didn't come up with the Surge, some General in Iraq thought it up, and McCain wants the credit for it. Come August he'll say, "I recognized before (Hillary or Obama) that the country was heading towards recession, and now i'm offering strategy X. That's what I'll do as President, offer solutions." It will probably work in getting him elected.
Reality and Politics can be two completely different things.