I don't think he'll make it to #2. The hyperbole has already started with Luck. I believe I heard, "The most complete prospect the NFL draft has ever seen" on the NFL network the other day.
Yeah, they're talking his shit up for sure. I agree with them that Luck will be a good NFL QB but the best? I can't make that stretch.
I think you might be right about not even making it past the 1st pick. Here is Carolinas QB depth chart:
Jimmy Clausen
Matt Moore
Tony Pike
Not exactly star power but the Panthers have never really went after star power. Its always been the serviceable guy even back to them drafting Jay Barker. I bet they go defense first pick.