You guys are out thinking yourselves. ONE yard to go. TWO downs to make ONE stinking yard. The game is OVER. You have a 6'6" 250 lb. QB, a 240 pound fullback and a 215 lb. bowling ball running back and a group of seniors on your interior line. Yes indeed, first down play on one. Instead, our D has to hang on for dear life and got extremely lucky because of a dropped pass. Ram the fucking ball in there for ONE yard and the game is over. Why is this so hard?
Like I was suggesting...it's all good playcalling when it works, it's bad play calling when it doesn't. If they'd have run Dyer up the middle...AGAIN, and gotten stuffed, y'all be bitching about the play calling on that too. Why? Well mainly because it didn't work...in fact ONLY because it didn't work.
Below is the play by play, w/ time from the last punt from MSU until the failed 3d down play.
4 2:35 Auburn Newton rush middle for -3 yards to the MissSt 20. 17 14
4 3:25 Auburn
Dyer rush middle for 2 yards to the MissSt 17. 17 14
4 4:00 Auburn Dyer rush middle for 7 yards to the MissSt 19. 17 14
4 4:50 Auburn Burns pass completion to the left to Newton for 22 yards to the MissSt 26. 17 14
4 5:20 Auburn
Dyer rush left for 2 yards to the MissSt 48. 17 14
4 6:00 Auburn Dyer rush left for 11 yards to the MissSt 50. 17 14
4 6:30 Auburn Dyer rush left for 16 yards to the Auburn 38.
Yes, Dyer up the middle, off tackle, or whatever would have been "the smart" play call UNLESS wasn't. Then it would be "they had run that same damn play 5 of the last 6 plays." They knew it was coming. Which they had, and which was well designed to set up play action, to throw a TD pass to ice the game, or get a big gain for a first down. I'm not saying it was right, or wrong, it just was, and it appeares to me (read as just my opinion) that they were trying to set up a
coup de gras by making MSU think they were milking the clock with Dyer. They'd just run the double pass, and maybe they thought MSU was thinking THAT was their one kill shot and they're going to milk it from here...at any rate...bitch if that's what you have to do. It wasn't a forgone conclusion that Dyer, or any of the backs would get the 4 yards needed for the first down on 4th down, or even gotten the one needed on 2 downs on 3rd and 4th down. It is ALWAYS a forgone conclusion that not only will the fans be disappointed if the play they call to get it doesn't work, the fans will also think they could have done a better job of calling the play tha the guy that gets paid nearly a mil a year to call the plays called.
Do coaches outthink themselves? Yes, I think they do. Would we have been better to keep pounding the rock with Dyer? Yes, unless we weren't, then we'd still be having this conversation, but it would instead be about how conservative Malzahn got when the game was on the line.