While we're on the subject of things that may contribute to uat not doing as well as many are expecting this year, I was listening to JOX this morning and someone brought up a valid point that I hadn't thought about previously.
Javier Arenas not being on the team anymore. Kickers were instructed not to let him catch it because you were looking at at least 20 extra yards if he did. uat always had a short field to play from.
I could definitely see that adding a couple of losses to the schedule.