Well the last time we discussed this I recall Ogre posting something about the results of legalization of Marijuana in Portugal which indicated lower use among the population. I thought that the remarkable decrease in use was compelling however what that graph didn't tell us was how highly regulated and taxed Marijuana has become in that country.
'Legalization' there simply allowed individuals to have a certain very small amount at any given time (I don't recall just how much offhand) for personal use, more than that allowed amount is still illegal, buying it from the black market is illegal, growing it is illegal, selling it (other than through Government clinics) is illegal, DUI of marijuana is highly illegal, using too much of it will trigger mandatory psychological and medical counseling (the Government knows how much you use from your purchase history I gathered), etc. I thought that if I had to navigate such a maze of regulations just to get a cigar, a beer, or a whiskey drink I'd cut back on that a lot too.
At any rate I think the Portugal model does prove that it can be 'legalized' with the desired result of lower use. I may revisit it to see if there's any additional information.
Certainly if the states start doing some form of legalized use it seems to me that FedGov will eventually have to revisit the Federal laws. I guess since we have a leftist, Dope-friendly dope in the White House chances are looking up for the Pot-heads getting legalization passed in the next few years.
I don't know if it will pass or not. To be honest, I have looked into it enough to see if it has any real support. If it does then I figure there will be several other states that will look into it. Agree that if states start to pass this, then the FedGov's hand will be forced to take a look at the Federal laws. I don't see anyway around that.
If it doesn't pass, I am curious to see if any other states will try and bring it up for a vote. One would think that if one state doesn't pass it, then another will not even attempt it, but we know that is not always the case.
I think it can be legalized and regulated, but I don't think it will go without any hitches. CCTAU makes a point, you have 10 million people compare to 310 million. Plus the difference in size. It will make it harder to regulate and to keep someone from growing it in their garden....etc...etc...etc....
I also wonder what it produce in tax revenue. When we get down to it, isn't this what it is really all about? I don't think the politicians care at all about the "general welfare" of those who would partake. The bottom line is all about the $$$$ and how much it will benefit them to push through agendas and pet projects. It all who it is that provides the goods, what the price will be and what percentage they decide to tax it. It could be so regulated and costly to the consumer that they will not use as much. Either that or grow their own illegally.
From what you said earlier about what Ogre posted. If the US were to follow a model like the one in Portugal, your true Libertarians (who usually push for legalizing drugs) would not like that the Gov't would know their purchase history don't you think?