My point was that nearly everything points to Alabama winning, but that anything can happen (that's why I listed some good Texas wins and some questionable Alabama wins). Texas probably isn't 34 points better than Missouri, but they were that day. Alabama is not a mere two points better than Tennessee, but they were on that day and had to block a field goal to do it. So my point was that Alabama should win, but both teams have shown they can play up and down, and even though Alabama is the better team, they are close enough that if Alabama plays their "Auburn" game instead of their "Florida" game, they will lose.In the end, I because I think they are likely to win.