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Pat Dye Field => War Damn Eagle => Topic started by: Townhallsavoy on October 17, 2013, 08:24:08 AM

Title: StatTiger's Predictions
Post by: Townhallsavoy on October 17, 2013, 08:24:08 AM

Quote

Looking at FBS competition only...

The Aggies are scoring 63.2% more than their opponent allows, which is impressive to say the least. The problem is their allowing 13.9% more points than their opponent normally scores.

Auburn is currently scoring 12.5% more than their opponent allows, while their defense is holding their opponent to 31.7% below their scoring average.

Taking A&M's average score vs. Auburn's scoring margins and it projects a 37-30 Auburn victory.

Taking Auburn's average score vs. the Aggies scoring margins and it projects a 36-33 Aggie win.

Average the scores and Auburn wins 35-33.

Based on FBS averages and current yardage margins, it projects Auburn to have 504-537 yards this Saturday and for Texas A&M to have 554-655 yards.

Two concerns for Auburn, they need to avoid is a slow start and turnovers.  The yardage percentages and margins project the Tigers to rush for 297-341-yards. If this is the case and Auburn wins the turnover battle,  I see the Tigers coming out victorious.

Fun stats -

Auburn has one loss since 1990 when rushing for 250 yards or more.
Auburn has won 81 straight games when scoring 30 or more points.
Auburn is overall 298-4 when scoring 30 or more points. 

A&M has one of the worst defenses in the SEC...no wait...the entire FBS.  They have one of the worst run defenses in the entire FBS. 

 :aubie:

Title: Re: StatTiger's Predictions
Post by: DnATL on October 17, 2013, 08:49:22 AM

Quote from: Townhallsavoy on October 17, 2013, 08:24:08 AM

Auburn has won 81 straight games when scoring 30 or more points.
 :aubie:

I thought about that streak earlier this week - I think it goes back to the first OT game, around 96 against Georgia when there were 4 OT's with touchdowns in every period until the last.

This week would be the threat to break that streak if ever

Title: Re: StatTiger's Predictions
Post by: bottomfeeder on October 17, 2013, 10:29:11 AM

Tanning JFF's ass Saturday.

Title: Re: StatTiger's Predictions
Post by: dallaswareagle on October 17, 2013, 11:03:32 AM

Quote from: Townhallsavoy on October 17, 2013, 08:24:08 AM

Fun stats -

Auburn has one loss since 1990 when rushing for 250 yards or more.
Auburn has won 81 straight games when scoring 30 or more points.
Auburn is overall 298-4 when scoring 30 or more points. 

A&M has one of the worst defenses in the SEC...no wait...the entire FBS.  They have one of the worst run defenses in the entire FBS. 
 :aubie:

Been there done that.