Tigers X - Number one Source to Talk Auburn Tigers Sports

Pat Dye Field => War Damn Eagle => Topic started by: wesfau2 on September 08, 2013, 10:20:34 AM

Title: StatTiger Grades the Game...
Post by: wesfau2 on September 08, 2013, 10:20:34 AM
Game #2 Statistical Evaluation (Arkansas State Game) 2013

Offensive Report Card

1) Average 6-yards per play on 1st down: 6.94 (pass)
2) Convert at least 40 pct of 3rd downs: 50.0 % pct (pass)
3) Average at least 4.5 yards per rush: 6.02 YPC (pass)
4) Score on 1/3 of your offensive possessions: 50.0% (pass)
5) Keep "3 and out" series under 33%: 33.3% (failed)
6) Average 8.0 yards per pass attempt: 8.79 (pass)
7) Score above 75% in red zone: 100% (pass)
8) TD Red Zone above 60%: 80.0% (pass)
9) Average 30-yards per possession: 39.0 YPP (pass)
10) 40% of offensive snaps being part of a scoring drive: 63.8% (pass)
11) TD / Turnover ratio above 1.6: 5 TD’s / 1 turnovers (pass)
12) TD ratio of 1 every 17 plays: 13.8 (pass)
13) 8 impact plays: 9 (pass)
14) at least 2 big plays: 1 (failed)
15) 166.5 pass rating:  (pass)

Score: 13 of 15 (86.7%)


Defensive Report Card

1) Average under 6-yards per play on 1st down: 5.15 (pass)
2) Convert below 35-pct of 3rd downs: 44.4% (failed)
3) Average below 4.0 yards per rush: 3.85 YPC (pass)
4) Score below 1/3 of their possessions: 25.0% (pass)
5) Keep "3 and out" series above 33%: 25.0% (failed)
6) Average below 7.5 yards per pass attempt: 6.63 YPA (pass)
7) Score below 75% in red zone: 75.0% (failed)
8) TD Red Zone Pct below 60%: 0.0% (pass)
9) Average under 30-yards per possession: 35.2 YPP (failed)
10) Less than 40% of offensive snaps being part of a scoring drive: 32.5% (pass)
11) TD / Turnover ratio below 1.6: 0 TD’s / 1 turnover (pass)
12) TD ratio of 1 every 30 plays: 0 TD's on 80 snaps (pass)
13) Less than 8 impact plays allowed: 8 (failed)
14) No more than 1 big play allowed: 2 allowed (failed)
15) Pass rating below 125.0 allowed: 126.5 (failed)

Score: 9 of 15 (60.0%)

    Defense is awarded 1 extra point for the 3 LOD series and 0 TD's allowed.
    Nearly 1/3 of the yardage gained by the Red Wolves came after Auburn went up 31-9 in the 4th quarter (133-yards)


Special Teams Report Card:

1) Punt Average (Above 41.3):  41.5 (pass)
2) Punt Return Defense (Below 7.8 YPR): 0.0 (pass)
3) Punt Return Offense (Above 9.8 YPR): 2.0 (failed)
4) Kick-Return Defense (Below 21.2 YPR): 17.8 (pass)
5) Kick-Return Offense (Above 22.3 YPR): 28.5 (pass)
6) PAT’s (100%): 5 of 5 (Pass)
7) FG Pct (75% or above): 1 of 1  (Pass)

Score: 6 of 7 (85.7%)

    I added a new category for red zone TD Pct this week.

    Remember the key is to pass 50.0% of the categories
    Auburn graded out with a passing grade in all three phases again. The last time Auburn accomplished this against consecutive FBS opponents was in 2010 against South Carolina (SECCG) and Oregon (BCSNCG).



http://mbd.scout.com/mb.aspx?s=6&f=1010&t=11898773
Title: Re: StatTiger Grades the Game...
Post by: Godfather on September 09, 2013, 12:41:44 PM
I'm just a caveman. These statistics frighten and confuse me!

My primitive mind can't grasp these concepts.
Title: Re: StatTiger Grades the Game...
Post by: Townhallsavoy on September 09, 2013, 01:14:00 PM
I'm just a caveman. These statistics frighten and confuse me!

My primitive mind can't grasp these concepts.

We good.  They were bad. 
Title: Re: StatTiger Grades the Game...
Post by: jmar on September 09, 2013, 01:58:05 PM
We good.  They were bad.
I like stats.
And stats are a nice to look at cumulatively but at week 2 as in each week there are instances where one team anihilates another statistically only to lose on the scoreboard.
Title: Re: StatTiger Grades the Game...
Post by: Kaos on September 09, 2013, 03:19:53 PM
His grades are arbitrary and made up to suit whatever narrative he wants. 

Intangible stats:

1) Have at least 15 fewer penalty yards due to uniform violations than opponent. (pass, 30 yards)
2) Have a player wearing the number 44 rush for the most yardage (pass)
3) Have an announcer mistake Rick Ross for Mr. T and do a really bad "pity the fool" impersonation. (pass)


While I admire his effort, I find little substantive value in his results. 

Fail.
Title: Re: StatTiger Grades the Game...
Post by: AUChizad on September 09, 2013, 03:25:31 PM
His grades are arbitrary and made up to suit whatever narrative he wants. 

Intangible stats:

1) Have at least 15 fewer penalty yards due to uniform violations than opponent. (pass, 30 yards)
2) Have a player wearing the number 44 rush for the most yardage (pass)
3) Have an announcer mistake Rick Ross for Mr. T and do a really bad "pity the fool" impersonation. (pass)


While I admire his effort, I find little substantive value in his results. 

Fail.
Except he is consistent with what he considers to make up a statistically "good game". And has had the same criteria for years.

He doesn't go changing it mid-season to fit some narrative that we are good or bad beforehand.
Title: Re: StatTiger Grades the Game...
Post by: Kaos on September 09, 2013, 03:42:36 PM
Except he is consistent with what he considers to make up a statistically "good game". And has had the same criteria for years.

He doesn't go changing it mid-season to fit some narrative that we are good or bad beforehand.

It remains his opinion. 

And he adds/takes away criteria. 

I added a new category for red zone TD Pct this week. 

Why?  Did it skew the numbers in some manner?  Not saying I don't admire the effort, but as it is based on his opinion of what makes a successful effort the value is limited. 
Title: Re: StatTiger Grades the Game...
Post by: AUChizad on September 09, 2013, 03:47:22 PM
It remains his opinion. 

And he adds/takes away criteria. 

I added a new category for red zone TD Pct this week. 

Why?  Did it skew the numbers in some manner?  Not saying I don't admire the effort, but as it is based on his opinion of what makes a successful effort the value is limited.
I'm not trying to attribute more meaning or weight in his opinion than is due.

But I do respect and trust an opinion based on consistent statistical analysis 100x before I trust just some goob at al.com "grading" certain facets of the game based on their "feelings".

All I'm sayin.
Title: Re: StatTiger Grades the Game...
Post by: Kaos on September 09, 2013, 04:10:22 PM
I'm not trying to attribute more meaning or weight in his opinion than is due.

But I do respect and trust an opinion based on consistent statistical analysis 100x before I trust just some goob at al.com "grading" certain facets of the game based on their "feelings".

All I'm sayin.

(http://2.bp.blogspot.com/-x7vsoyoiKnA/TZT9Zbx6DII/AAAAAAAAB3g/3Fw8hTRXvD0/s320/000Consensus.gif)
Title: Re: StatTiger Grades the Game...
Post by: Pell City Tiger on September 09, 2013, 09:04:31 PM
I'm not trying to attribute more meaning or weight in his opinion than is due.

But I do respect and trust an opinion based on consistent statistical analysis 100x before I trust just some goob at al.com "grading" certain facets of the game based on their "feelings".

All I'm sayin.
I done did my homework.

Signed,
Charles "The Picker / Arky State 35 Auburn 31" Hollis
Title: Re: StatTiger Grades the Game...
Post by: The Prowler on September 10, 2013, 08:13:53 AM
I'm not trying to attribute more meaning or weight in his opinion than is due.

But I do respect and trust an opinion based on consistent statistical analysis 100x before I trust just some goob at al.com "grading" certain facets of the game based on their "feelings".

All I'm sayin.
Yeah, what a dumbass to grade the team on his fee...wait...oh nevermind, you said al.com...yeah, fuckin dumbasses.
Title: Re: StatTiger Grades the Game...
Post by: CCTAU on September 10, 2013, 11:36:02 AM
He uses too many numbers. I get confused.

I just like either a thumbs up or thumbs down!