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Pat Dye Field => War Damn Eagle => Topic started by: The Six on May 07, 2013, 02:10:31 PM

Title: ESPN 2013 SEC Projections
Post by: The Six on May 07, 2013, 02:10:31 PM
ESPN projections for 2013, based on team projections; offense and defensive efficiency; and likelihood of w/l in each scheduled game (which produced the projected record and win total range).

Schedule outcomes based on probability of a win after 1,000 simulated seasons.

West:
1. Alabama Crimson Tide
Projected finish: 11-1
Win total range: 10-2 to 12-0
Chance to win SEC: 62 percent

2. LSU Tigers
Projected finish: 9-3
Win total range: 7-5 to 11-1
Chance to win SEC: 8 percent

3. Texas A&M Aggies
Projected finish: 9-3
Win total range: 7-5 to 11-1
Chance to win SEC: 5 percent

4. Ole Miss Rebels
Projected finish: 7-5
Win total range: 5-7 to 9-3
Chance to win SEC: 1 percent

5. Auburn Tigers
Projected finish: 6-6
Win total range: 4-8 to 8-4
Chance to win SEC: 0 percent

6. Mississippi State Bulldogs
Projected finish: 5-7
Win total range: 3-9 to 7-5
Chance to win SEC: 0 percent

7. Arkansas Razorbacks
Projected finish: 5-7
Win total range: 3-9 to 7-5
Chance to win SEC: 0 percent

East:
1. South Carolina Gamecocks
Projected finish: 9-3
Win total range: 7-5 to 11-1
Chance to win SEC: 10 percent

2. Georgia Bulldogs
Projected finish: 9-3
Win total range: 7-5 to 11-1
Chance to win SEC: 7 percent

3. Florida Gators
Projected finish: 9-3
Win total range: 7-5 to 11-1
Chance to win SEC: 7 percent

4. Missouri Tigers
Projected finish: 7-5
Win total range: 4-8 to 9-3
Chance to win SEC: 0 percent

5. Vanderbilt Commodores
Projected finish: 6-6
Win total range: 4-8 to 8-4
Chance to win SEC: 0 percent

6. Tennessee Volunteers
Projected finish: 5-7
Win total range: 3-9 to 7-5
Chance to win SEC: 0 percent

7. Kentucky Wildcats
Projected finish: 4-8
Win total range: 2-10 to 6-6
Chance to win SEC: 0 percent
Title: Re: ESPN 2013 SEC Projections
Post by: WiregrassTiger on May 07, 2013, 02:19:53 PM
They are short-selling us by a spot.
Title: Re: ESPN 2013 SEC Projections
Post by: AWK on May 07, 2013, 03:04:52 PM
Playing devil's advocate here, but until we actually beat an SEC team we should be ranked last...no?
Title: Re: ESPN 2013 SEC Projections
Post by: dallaswareagle on May 07, 2013, 03:06:25 PM
Well that is just a giant suck sandwich, us between the Mississippi schools.  :facepalm: :facepalm:
Title: Re: ESPN 2013 SEC Projections
Post by: AWK on May 07, 2013, 03:07:44 PM
Quote
Chance to win SEC: 0 percent

While this may be true...lulz, wut?
Title: Re: ESPN 2013 SEC Projections
Post by: War Eagle!!! on May 07, 2013, 03:20:53 PM
While this may be true...lulz, wut?

So what are the chances? Like 1 in a 100? 1 in a million?

No. Zero.
Title: Re: ESPN 2013 SEC Projections
Post by: dallaswareagle on May 07, 2013, 03:21:48 PM
Chance to win SEC: 0 percent


While this may be true...lulz, wut?

I thought it was a little high myself.
Title: Re: ESPN 2013 SEC Projections
Post by: Godfather on May 07, 2013, 03:24:44 PM
So what are the chances? Like 1 in a 100? 1 in a million?

No. Zero.
So you are saying that we have a chance...
Title: Re: ESPN 2013 SEC Projections
Post by: Buzz Killington on May 07, 2013, 04:26:39 PM
So you are saying that we have a chance...
(http://i0.kym-cdn.com/photos/images/original/000/399/502/960.jpg)
Title: Re: ESPN 2013 SEC Projections
Post by: bottomfeeder on May 07, 2013, 04:28:11 PM
I'd bet the odds this year of us taking the SEC by storm. Just sayin', I will bet the odds just because I can.

did you guys see this shit?

http://www.wistv.com/story/20555806/vegas-odds-clemson-has-better-chance-to-win-2013-14-national-championship

200/1 odds of us winning the BCS.

http://www.nsawins.com/college-football-futures-betting-odds.shtml
Title: Re: ESPN 2013 SEC Projections
Post by: AUChizad on May 07, 2013, 06:21:24 PM
I'd bet the odds this year of us taking the SEC by storm. Just sayin', I will bet the odds just because I can.

did you guys see this shit?

http://www.wistv.com/story/20555806/vegas-odds-clemson-has-better-chance-to-win-2013-14-national-championship

200/1 odds of us winning the BCS.

http://www.nsawins.com/college-football-futures-betting-odds.shtml
Already put $20 down in Vegas. For realz.

As far as the 0 percent shit, it is extra laughable when compared with Bama's "chances" compared to everyone else's. Why is anyone besides Bama even playing the games this year?

Quote
Alabama Crimson Tide
Chance to win SEC: 62 percent

South Carolina Gamecocks
Chance to win SEC: 10 percent

LSU Tigers
Chance to win SEC: 8 percent

Georgia Bulldogs
Chance to win SEC: 7 percent

Florida Gators
Chance to win SEC: 7 percent

Texas A&M Aggies
Chance to win SEC: 5 percent

Ole Miss Rebels
Chance to win SEC: 1 percent

Auburn Tigers
Chance to win SEC: 0 percent

Mississippi State Bulldogs
Chance to win SEC: 0 percent

Arkansas Razorbacks
Chance to win SEC: 0 percent

Missouri Tigers
Chance to win SEC: 0 percent

Vanderbilt Commodores
Chance to win SEC: 0 percent

Tennessee Volunteers
Chance to win SEC: 0 percent

Kentucky Wildcats
Chance to win SEC: 0 percent

So exactly half the SEC have a 0/∞ chance of winning the conference.

To be so specific with those percentages, someone doesn't understand how probability works.
Title: Re: ESPN 2013 SEC Projections
Post by: bottomfeeder on May 07, 2013, 06:43:32 PM
Already put $20 down in Vegas. For realz.

As far as the 0 percent shit, it is extra laughable when compared with Bama's "chances" compared to everyone else's. Why is anyone besides Bama even playing the games this year?

So exactly half the SEC have a 0/∞ chance of winning the conference.

To be so specific with those percentages, someone doesn't understand how probability works.

I agree. I took Probability and Statistics at Springhill College and I can tell you guys right now that bammer will not three-peat this year. TAMU will embarrass them again this year. Ole MIss and LSU have an outside chance to embarrass them too. AU has a chance you outscore Saban's dynasty, and I can actually see it happening this year, just sayn'.
Title: Re: ESPN 2013 SEC Projections
Post by: The Prowler on May 07, 2013, 07:17:56 PM
I love their win total range...

0-12 to 12-0 (somewhere in between)

Probably a couple of the RECSPN uat alum that put the projections together, with the help of Danny Sheridan of course.
Title: Re: ESPN 2013 SEC Projections
Post by: RWS on May 07, 2013, 07:48:05 PM
TAMU will embarrass them again this year.
Saban is too much of a dick to let a team beat him two years in a row.  It doesn't happen very often.  I think Alabama is going to take a shit in aTm's front yard. 

Quote
Ole MIss and LSU have an outside chance to embarrass them too.
You might think I'm crazy, but I think that Ole Miss has a better chance at beating Alabama than LSU does.
Title: Re: ESPN 2013 SEC Projections
Post by: bottomfeeder on May 07, 2013, 07:53:58 PM
You might think I'm crazy, but I think that Ole Miss has a better chance at beating Alabama than LSU does.

I don't think you're crazy, I think you're a bammer.
Title: Re: ESPN 2013 SEC Projections
Post by: jmar on May 07, 2013, 08:23:04 PM
I don't think you're crazy, I think you're a bammer.
We still suck until we don't.
We haven't been competitive and there is no easy fix from the fucking bottom.
Title: Re: ESPN 2013 SEC Projections
Post by: RWS on May 07, 2013, 08:24:40 PM
We still suck until we don't.
We haven't been competitive and there is no easy fix from the fucking bottom.
Auburn will be at least an 8 win team this season.
Title: Re: ESPN 2013 SEC Projections
Post by: Vandy Vol on May 07, 2013, 08:32:00 PM
Auburn will be at least an 8 win team this season.

Unless they don't.
Title: Re: ESPN 2013 SEC Projections
Post by: RWS on May 07, 2013, 08:37:03 PM
Unless they don't.
They'll beat Vandy.
Title: Re: ESPN 2013 SEC Projections
Post by: jmar on May 07, 2013, 08:37:53 PM
Auburn will be at least an 8 win team this season.
I've always respected your opinion but you must be gunning for Token's spot as the kindest, most gentle turd. Eight wins from three previous with our blocking and tackling...  :rolleyes: :haha: :facepalm:
Title: Re: ESPN 2013 SEC Projections
Post by: Vandy Vol on May 07, 2013, 08:44:09 PM
They'll beat Vandy.

James Franklin wants you to shut your whorish mouf.
Title: Re: ESPN 2013 SEC Projections
Post by: RWS on May 07, 2013, 09:23:31 PM
I've always respected your opinion but you must be gunning for Token's spot as the kindest, most gentle turd. Eight wins from three previous with our blocking and tackling...  :rolleyes: :haha: :facepalm:
Not really.  I'm still the slightly retarded Alabama fan you know and love, I just don't hate Auburn or anything.  Just having a coach who knows his asshole from his elbow and can evaluate talent is going to get you guys to 6 or 7 wins.  You can tell by looking at the spring depth chart that he figured out who the problems were and replaced them.     
Title: Re: ESPN 2013 SEC Projections
Post by: bottomfeeder on May 07, 2013, 10:11:50 PM
You can tell by looking at the spring depth chart that he figured out who the problems were and replaced them.     

Guys like this?

(http://stream1.gifsoup.com/view/3003203/jake-holland-lol-o.gif)   :rofl:
Title: Re: ESPN 2013 SEC Projections
Post by: Token on May 08, 2013, 06:16:37 PM
I've always respected your opinion but you must be gunning for Token's spot as the kindest, most gentle turd. Eight wins from three previous with our blocking and tackling...  :rolleyes: :haha: :facepalm:

You obviously have me mistaken.
Title: Re: ESPN 2013 SEC Projections
Post by: WiregrassTiger on May 08, 2013, 06:26:39 PM
If we do reach 8 wins, lots of freshmen will need to play early, like we assume they will, and be as good as advertised. I think Lawson and Adams could make a very big difference.
Title: Re: ESPN 2013 SEC Projections
Post by: jmar on May 09, 2013, 03:52:10 AM
You obviously have me mistaken.
Oh no...we luv u , luv u,  luv u, love you!
Title: Re: ESPN 2013 SEC Projections
Post by: jmar on May 09, 2013, 04:27:51 AM
If we do reach 8 wins, lots of freshmen will need to play early, like we assume they will, and be as good as advertised. I think Lawson and Adams could make a very big difference.
Maybe our secret weapon Jason Garrett will catch the rest up on tackling technique by the fall.
Wouldn't that be exciting?
Put me down for five wins, no six...I have a feeling we will be half as embarrassing.
Just find me a play making QB, teach the OL to block and we make a move on Ole Miss.
Now I'm excited!
Title: Re: ESPN 2013 SEC Projections
Post by: Buzz Killington on May 09, 2013, 09:16:09 AM
14-0, baby!  Write it down.  Circle the calendars.  Hide ya wife.  Hide ya kids.
Title: Re: ESPN 2013 SEC Projections
Post by: djsimp on May 09, 2013, 09:30:19 AM
14-0, baby!  Write it down.  Circle the calendars.  Hide ya wife.  Hide ya kids.

KAPOOYA KAPOOYA!
Title: Re: ESPN 2013 SEC Projections
Post by: Godfather on May 09, 2013, 10:00:53 AM
You obviously have me mistaken.

He is only a couple notches above bf, I wouldn't take it personally.
Title: Re: ESPN 2013 SEC Projections
Post by: Townhallsavoy on May 09, 2013, 10:18:27 AM
So what are the chances? Like 1 in a 100? 1 in a million?

No. Zero.

Yes, it's zero.  ESPN reported us to the NCAA, and we are suspended from any postseason play for the next three years. 
Title: Re: ESPN 2013 SEC Projections
Post by: Godfather on May 09, 2013, 10:21:03 AM
Yes, it's zero.  ESPN reported us to the NCAA, and we are suspended from any postseason play for the next three years.

I thought we gave up football?
Title: Re: ESPN 2013 SEC Projections
Post by: AUTiger1 on May 09, 2013, 10:53:03 AM
He is only a couple notches above bf, I wouldn't take it personally.

Ouch!  That was mean.
Title: Re: ESPN 2013 SEC Projections
Post by: dallaswareagle on May 09, 2013, 02:53:04 PM
I thought we gave up football?

We did, kick-off 2012 season.