This is too early, but why not?
W Sept. 4 ARKANSAS STATE
L Sept. 9 at Mississippi State (ESPN)
W Sept. 18 CLEMSON
W Sept. 25 SOUTH CAROLINA
W Oct. 2 LOUISIANA-MONROE
W Oct. 9 at Kentucky
L Oct. 16 ARKANSAS
W Oct. 23 LSU
L Oct. 30 at Ole Miss
W Nov. 6 TENNESSEE-CHATTANOOGA [HC]
L Nov. 13 GEORGIA
L Nov. 26 at Alabama (CBS)
W = win
L = loss
7-5
I think all of the games you listed (along with Clemson) are possible losses, but just like this past year, I don't see us losing all of the possible losses. If there are 6 toss ups, don't you figure we win at least 3 of them? Which would put us at least at 8-4.
Beat North Carolina in the Peach Bowl and go 9-4. Not too bad.
Personally I think we are likely to win 3 of those 5 games, meaning we should go 9-3. Beat Wisconsin in the Capital One bowl to go 10-3. Pretty good.
Your 7-5 is if things just flat out go bad....unlucky for us.