What will it take for AU to beat LSU?

[jadennis]

Okay, I know winning at LSU Saturday is not likely.  But it's not the long shot I get the feeling everyone thinks it is.

Let's do some of that mind-numbing "who beat who" bit to see if it gives some perspective.

This LSU team needed a goal line stand (and dumb-ass play calling from Mullen) to beat Mississippi State. 

We destroyed MSU.

We lost to Arkansas, but Arkansas nearly beat Florida a week later in the swamp.

That same Arkansas team lost to Georgia. 

Georgia lost to LSU on a miracle "penalty, kickoff return, broken tackle" touchdown in the last minute.

That same Georgia team was also just destroyed by a Tennessee team that we defeated thoroughly. 

LSU has been consistently "good" this year.  They haven't really played bad, but they have never really played "very good" or "great" either.  After a week off, they could change that, but I wouldn't count on it.

My contention is that if LSU comes out and plays "good", but not "great" (or even "very good") like they have all year...Auburn only needs to play "very good", which we have done at times this year, to pull off the win.  We don't have to go in there and play perfect or out of our minds in order to beat this team.  MSU didn't play especially great and were one yard away from winning.  Georgia definitely didn't play great and had the lead until that last minute "Les Miles Miracle #63" happened. 

If LSU continues down the same path they've been on, I just don't think it's far fetched to think we can go in there and win.

[RWS]

I've been saying it since the beginning of the season: LSU is waiting on somebody to expose them.

If not for horrible play calling, MSU would have beaten them. I think Todd is injured again and pulling out a win at night in Red Stick is going to be near impossible for this AU squad.

[Godfather]

If it were at home I would give us a better chance...









..like maybe 1%.

[ibelonginprison]

If it were at home I would give us a better chance...









..like maybe 1%.

Arky is always a threat to us.  Georgia is a threat to us.


We're always a threat to LSU and Florida.  It just happens that way.  We stand a chance.  Not a good one, but a little more than 1%.










I'll go with 3%.

[Godfather]

Arky is always a threat to us.  Georgia is a threat to us.


We're always a threat to LSU and Florida.  It just happens that way.  We stand a chance.  Not a good one, but a little more than 1%.

I'll go with 3%.

Actually I didn't say we had a 1% chance to win, I meant we had a 1% increase if it played at home.  You know because we play so well at home, and all.


I give us at least a 10% chance to win.

[AWK]

Actually I didn't say we had a 1% chance to win, I meant we had a 1% increase if it played at home.  You know because we play so well at home, and all.


I give us at least a 10% chance to win.

Move the decimal, .10%.

[Godfather]

Move the decimal, .10%.

Seriously though you don't think out of 10 games we wouldn't win 1?  I do... maybe Saturday will be our one. 

Just like I hope every Saturday a school in the cesspool known as tuscaloosa will be swallowed into a sinkhole.

Don't piss on my dreams.

[dallaswareagle]

But can he play defense?   

[AUTiger1]

But can he play defense?   

I don't know, but I do know that he can hit a curveball.

[Saniflush]

I don't know, but I do know that he can hit a curveball.

That puts him one up on JoBoo.

[dallaswareagle]

I don't know, but I do know that he can hit a curveball.

   

[Hogwally]

Then, when we beat Alabama, there will be a three-way tie at 6-2 for the SEC West (LSU, Alabama, Auburn). 

Yes, I am on drugs, two vicodin to be exact. 

     LSU still has to get past the Hogs, who have beaten them twice in a row.  At the start of the year I thought Ole Miss would be better than they are.  Now, I don't think the Hogs lose again this year.

[jadennis]

I think Todd is injured again and pulling out a win at night in Red Stick is going to be near impossible for this AU squad.

If Chris Todd 2008 shows up like he did against Kentucky, we're screwed.  If Chris Todd from the Tennessee game shows up, we have a 50/50 chance at beating LSU.m 

Let's say there's a 50/50 chance CT-Tennessee shows up, that means overall we have a 25% chance of winning the game....at least that's the math I'm going with to keep me excited about the game.

[ibelonginprison]

Seriously though you don't think out of 10 games we wouldn't win 1?  I do... maybe Saturday will be our one. 

Just like I hope every Saturday a school in the cesspool known as tuscaloosa will be swallowed into a sinkhole.

Don't piss on my dreams.

"Coach Chizik, how long will it take you to beat LSU?"

"600 minutes."