To beat LSU...

Kaos · « **on:** October 21, 2019, 05:57:37 PM »

It's going to take something spectacular and undeniable.

The SEC dearly wants to protect its super-hyped 1 vs. 2 matchup between Alabama and LSU. Lots of things will be working against us.

1) Pass interference calls. Already said the over/under is six. I think we come in just under, but still get five thrown -- two at critical junctures.
2) Holding calls. Calls against LSU will be few and far between (despite my pointing out last week that their tackles repeatedly wrapped full arms around MSU defenders). AU will pick up at least three holding calls, one of which will either push us out of field goal range, call a TD back or take away a critical first down.

There will be other ways we'll get hosed, but it's gonna happen. I don't see us winning a last-second field goal type game because they won't let that happen. We'll have to punch their dicks off and I just don't think we have the coaching to make that happen. Talent wise, I don't think there's much disparity at all. They have a better staff and do a better job putting their players in the right situation.

Kinda funny when you think about it. If there had been one second more on the clock two years ago? Gus would be at Kansas, Les would be in Baton Rouge and we'd have Orgeron.

jmar · « **Reply #1 on:** October 21, 2019, 06:59:13 PM »

If this game were like LSU-Texas where the stripes allowed both teams to play fast and loose I would say we have an even chance to win this one.

We match up in talent and yes their defense can be gouged for big plays however their defense, like ours gets VERY stingy in the red zone.
We are taught to grab and pull a guy like Jefferson down if beaten. The worrisome flags come from our guys mugging a guy two seconds before the ball arrives. Otherwise they have a hard nosed stubby back with a hyphenated last name that's gonna get 60 yards and
Burrow will get loose a few times for 40 or so yards when good coverage leads to broken containment.
THIS IS WHERE BURROW IS THE BEST IN CFB...this season anyway. He improvises as he threatens to run then hurls one off his back foot ACCURATELY to a receiver that was once covered. They are NFL throws from a guy that reacts like an NFL QB.
Hurts is good but he doesn't have to do this and Burrow does it like it's second nature.

We can beat them if Nix has time to find Schwartz and Williams on early downs and our genius coach is unpredictable enough to make third downs almost non- existent.

We can't beat them in a phone booth it has to be in open field matching scores...and no not field goals.

As you mentioned LSU toyed with State and I've tracked quite a few of their games this year.
Opponents can move the ball on their defense but any team thinking they are holding their own against LSU by putting up threes are only fooling themselves.

bottomfeeder · « **Reply #2 on:** October 21, 2019, 08:21:46 PM »

I predict a nailbiter.

jmar · « **Reply #3 on:** October 21, 2019, 08:49:07 PM »

Quote from: bottomfeeder on October 21, 2019, 08:21:46 PM

I predict a nailbiter.

Effing North Texas Utah State Tech distorts all of the stats and makes us look like chumps.

Yeah I'd say that's really close.

GH2001 · « **Reply #4 on:** October 22, 2019, 12:07:45 PM »

Quote from: jmar on October 21, 2019, 08:49:07 PM

Effing North Texas Utah State Tech distorts all of the stats and makes us look like chumps.

Yeah I'd say that's really close.

correct. Other than Florida itâ€™s a bad comparison at this point.

Buzz Killington · « **Reply #5 on:** October 22, 2019, 12:25:13 PM »

To win this game it will take some big plays like a pick-6, punt or kickoff return for a TD, or a fumble return for TD. Possibly more than 2.

I figure they will come out fast and score on the first 2 possessions...then disappear until garbage time, where they make it look closer than it really is. Probably something like 38-24

GH2001 · « **Reply #6 on:** October 22, 2019, 12:26:44 PM »

Quote from: Buzz Killington on October 22, 2019, 12:25:13 PM

To win this game it will take some big plays like a pick-6, punt or kickoff return for a TD, or a fumble return for TD. Possibly more than 2.

I figure they will come out fast and score on the first 2 possessions...then disappear until garbage time, where they make it look closer than it really is. Probably something like 38-24

Or an injury similar to trask or tuaarrr