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Auburn's Football Season Simulated

The Six

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Auburn's Football Season Simulated
« on: July 08, 2019, 11:31:35 AM »
https://247sports.com/college/auburn/LongFormArticle/Simulating-Auburn-2019-season-with-NCAA-Football-video-game-133486604/


Quote
That’s what SG1 Sports is doing this summer as it takes the last iteration of the NCAA Football video game franchise, NCAA Football 14, and updates the rosters to reflect the 2019 rosters for teams across the country. From there, SG1 simulates games (no humans involved) after loading the new rosters to see how the upcoming season will unfold. SG1 did just that recently for the Auburn Tigers, and below you can check out a brief recap of each Power 5 game on Auburn’s schedule (FCS and non-Power 5 games are automatically chalked in as wins).



Here’s the SG1 Sports take on the simulation: “With a brutal schedule 6-6 is very possible for this team, but a few of those close games go their way, they can win eight or nine games. I don’t think this is a really unrealistic simulation. Again, given the fact the schedule is really tough and it shows them having a lot of close games. it’ll just come down to whether they can win those close games.”
6-6 looks like 
Oregon - L (20-17)
Kent St - W (No score but these are gimmes in the simulation.)
Tulane - W (No score but these are gimmes in the simulation.)
TAMU - W (20-14)
Miss. State - W (35-25)
Florida - L (24-22)
Arkansas - L (38-31 - It appears they factored this as the typical Gus "dumb" loss of the season)
LSU - L (31-29)
Ole Miss - W (26-21)
Georgia - L (50-47 3 OT)
Samford - W (No score but these are gimmes in the simulation.)
Alabama - L (31-15)

Nashville, Shreveport, or Birmingham awaits...
« Last Edit: July 08, 2019, 11:37:44 AM by The Six »
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Buzz Killington

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Re: Auburn's Football Season Simulated
« Reply #1 on: July 08, 2019, 11:40:17 AM »
If this team loses to Arkansas, Gus should be fired on the spot.  Most of the rest I can see...although, I still see a win in the Swamp for some reason.
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Re: Auburn's Football Season Simulated
« Reply #2 on: July 08, 2019, 12:10:52 PM »
If this team loses to Arkansas, Gus should be fired on the spot.  Most of the rest I can see...although, I still see a win in the Swamp for some reason.
Is Frank Sanders' son playing WR...
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Re: Auburn's Football Season Simulated
« Reply #3 on: July 08, 2019, 12:55:21 PM »
https://247sports.com/college/auburn/LongFormArticle/Simulating-Auburn-2019-season-with-NCAA-Football-video-game-133486604/

6-6 looks like
Oregon - L (20-17)
Kent St - W (No score but these are gimmes in the simulation.)
Tulane - W (No score but these are gimmes in the simulation.)
TAMU - W (20-14)
Miss. State - W (35-25)
Florida - L (24-22)
Arkansas - L (38-31 - It appears they factored this as the typical Gus "dumb" loss of the season)
LSU - L (31-29)
Ole Miss - W (26-21)
Georgia - L (50-47 3 OT)
Samford - W (No score but these are gimmes in the simulation.)
Alabama - L (31-15)

Nashville, Shreveport, or Birmingham awaits...
It's an interesting take from a game engine built 5 years ago.  I know they don't use humans to simulate but they have to decide the numbers for the players, including ones that have never taken a snap before. It's nothing really more than something to comment on while we are at 47 days and counting.  It's about as plausible as me putting down dog bowls of food and letting my mutt decide the winners.
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GH2001

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Re: Auburn's Football Season Simulated
« Reply #4 on: July 08, 2019, 01:57:45 PM »
It's an interesting take from a game engine built 5 years ago.  I know they don't use humans to simulate but they have to decide the numbers for the players, including ones that have never taken a snap before. It's nothing really more than something to comment on while we are at 47 days and counting.  It's about as plausible as me putting down dog bowls of food and letting my mutt decide the winners.
They lost me at the 50 point, 3OT game with Ga. With auburn and ga’s defensive fronts how realistic is that really?
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Re: Auburn's Football Season Simulated
« Reply #5 on: July 08, 2019, 02:42:43 PM »
They lost me at the 50 point, 3OT game with Ga. With auburn and ga’s defensive fronts how realistic is that really?
A year ago, I wouldn’t have believed you if you told me LSU and aTm would have had a 70+ point overtime game. 
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The Six

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Re: Auburn's Football Season Simulated
« Reply #6 on: July 08, 2019, 07:14:42 PM »
They lost me at the 50 point, 3OT game with Ga. With auburn and ga’s defensive fronts how realistic is that really?
Quote
GEORGIA 50, AUBURN 47 (3 OT)

A game that could change the fate of Gus Malzahn, the Deep South’s Oldest Rivalry in this simulation became an instant classic.
Auburn battled back from a 27-17 deficit with a 58-yard touchdown run by Joey Gatewood in the third quarter, and a field goal by Anders Carlson with 5:04 remaining tied the game.
Then Georgia’s offense woke up again, added a field goal and grabbed the lead. Auburn marched back down the field and Carlson kicked another field goal to tie the game and force overtime.
Auburn scored first in overtime and forced Georgia into a fourth-and-14 situation. Jake Frommmanaged to fire a pass to convert the fourth down into a first down. The Bulldogs scored a touchdown to force a second overtime. Auburn had eclipsed 500 yards by this point, but it wasn’t enough when the time came to convert in the third overtime. Auburn was stopped and settled for a field goal. Fromm then led Georgia inside the 10 and kept the ball on an option play to run out of Jordan-Hare Stadium with a 50-47 victory in three overtimes.

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GH2001

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Re: Auburn's Football Season Simulated
« Reply #7 on: July 09, 2019, 09:01:29 AM »

I like our boys but putting that many yards and points on that defense?
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WDE

The Six

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Re: Auburn's Football Season Simulated
« Reply #8 on: July 09, 2019, 09:09:19 AM »
I like our boys but putting that many yards and points on that defense?
I agree. On one hand, if Gus gets that much offense, I can't see losing. However, that ending is so Auburn it's like the EA guys programmed JABA into the code. 
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Re: Auburn's Football Season Simulated
« Reply #9 on: July 09, 2019, 12:05:03 PM »
One more thing to consider in this algorithm that seems to have been left out, its called the "Gus bug". With his employment being on the line, Auburn has a 2019 season that exceeds expectations by a large margin to retain his HC position just to have a lackluster 2020 season.
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Auburns Football Season Simulated
« Reply #10 on: July 10, 2019, 02:21:35 AM »
I just picked up Gears 3 and was wondering if the season pass was still worth purchasing or if the content contained is pretty lackluster.

Thanks
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Re: Auburns Football Season Simulated
« Reply #11 on: July 10, 2019, 05:45:05 AM »
I just picked up Gears 3 and was wondering if the season pass was still worth purchasing or if the content contained is pretty lackluster.

Thanks
If you have to ask.......no
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Re: Auburns Football Season Simulated
« Reply #12 on: July 10, 2019, 02:45:30 PM »
I just picked up Gears 3 and was wondering if the season pass was still worth purchasing or if the content contained is pretty lackluster.

Thanks
Why don't you take the season pass, ball it up real tight, grease that sucker down and shove it right up your lackluster, roody poo candy ass. 
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Re: Auburns Football Season Simulated
« Reply #13 on: July 11, 2019, 08:42:26 AM »
Why don't you take the season pass, ball it up real tight, grease that sucker down and shove it right up your lackluster, roody poo candy ass.
Dilly Dilly!!!
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Snaggletiger

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Re: Auburns Football Season Simulated
« Reply #14 on: July 11, 2019, 09:31:25 AM »
Why don't you take the season pass, ball it up real tight, grease that sucker down and shove it right up your lackluster, roody poo candy ass.
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