Let's see how we're doing in my scenario from weeks ago:
1-1 vs. Bama Lost one got a home floor game coming up so still possible
0-1 vs. Vandy Duh
Lose to Florida, Kentucky, Tennessee, LSU twice Lost to UF and UT, will lose to UK but already beat LSU so +1 here
1-1 vs. the So. Carolina/Arkansas combo Check
2-0 vs. A&M Down 0-1 already after losing at home. -1
2-0 vs. the State of Mississippi Fuck. Lost both, so -2
1-1 vs. Georgia Already there, possible to add one
1-1 vs. Missouri (best case I guess) Already there, beat them once
So from what I best cased, we're overall -2. Will likely be -3 after we lose to A&M on the road. But could get back to what I hoped if we beat UA at home, beat UGA at home and beat LSU at home. Beat Missouri on the road and we're a game better than I suggested.
Unlikely. Losing two to the Mississippi schools and two likely losses to A&M hurt.