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Odds of Beating LSU

Odds of Beating LSU
« on: September 17, 2013, 05:05:04 PM »
Miles is 32-2 when playing at home at night.  Those two losses were both to #1 ranked teams. 

Auburn has not beaten LSU in Baton Rouge since the 90s. 

I say we have a 10% chance.  Most likely going to be whipped by at least 14 points unless Frost really has figured out how to play MLB.
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The Guy That Knows Nothing of Hyperbole

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Re: Odds of Beating LSU
« Reply #1 on: September 17, 2013, 05:20:36 PM »
Miles is 32-2 when playing at home at night.  Those two losses were both to #1 ranked teams. 

Auburn has not beaten LSU in Baton Rouge since the 90s. 

I say we have a 10% chance.  Most likely going to be whipped by at least 14 points unless Frost really has figured out how to play MLB.

So no 9-3?
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Re: Odds of Beating LSU
« Reply #2 on: September 17, 2013, 05:32:05 PM »
Miles is 32-2 when playing at home at night.  Those two losses were both to #1 ranked teams. 

Auburn has not beaten LSU in Baton Rouge since the 90s. 

I say we have a 10% chance.  Most likely going to be whipped by at least 14 points unless Frost really has figured out how to play MLB.
We can beat the Corndogs in their place. Can't go in a fucking shell though if we get a lead. That opening scripted series against State was a thing of beauty they just made a terrific stop. And with a pace similar to the last drive for 5 or 6 series we might be able to score enough to hold them off if we can force some punts and make a few stands. I do think we get all we have defensively Saturday night.
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Re: Odds of Beating LSU
« Reply #3 on: September 17, 2013, 06:05:37 PM »
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Re: Odds of Beating LSU
« Reply #4 on: September 17, 2013, 06:14:20 PM »
So no 9-3?

10-2...with losses to LSU and Florida Atlantic.
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Re: Odds of Beating LSU
« Reply #5 on: September 17, 2013, 06:19:54 PM »
Not a snowball's chance in hell we win Saturday.

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Re: Odds of Beating LSU
« Reply #6 on: September 17, 2013, 06:34:38 PM »
Chances just went down. 

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AUownsU

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Re: Odds of Beating LSU
« Reply #7 on: September 17, 2013, 08:02:32 PM »
I won't give odds bit Ill give reasons we can win....

A fairly shitty TCU team hung with them in the opener.

The worst Auburn team in my life coulda/woulda/shoulda beat them last year.

Their porn stache QB was flatout scared shitless the last time he played Auburn.

They haven't played anyone worth a damn so far.

They lost alot of players from last years team.
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Re: Odds of Beating LSU
« Reply #8 on: September 17, 2013, 08:15:11 PM »
I won't give odds bit Ill give reasons we can win....

A fairly shitty TCU team hung with them in the opener.

The worst Auburn team in my life coulda/woulda/shoulda beat them last year.

Their porn stache QB was flatout scared shitless the last time he played Auburn.

They haven't played anyone worth a damn so far.

They lost alot of players from last years team.

Well, that settles it for me. AU -59 Porndogs - 28
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Re: Odds of Beating LSU
« Reply #9 on: September 17, 2013, 09:00:30 PM »
I won't give odds bit Ill give reasons we can win....

A fairly shitty TCU team hung with them in the opener.

The worst Auburn team in my life coulda/woulda/shoulda beat them last year.

Their porn stache QB was flatout scared shitless the last time he played Auburn.

They haven't played anyone worth a damn so far.

They lost alot of players from last years team.

If...IF...BIG IF we can somehow slow down their run game and force them to play balanced football, I think we can win. 

I'm with you.  I'm not impressed by Mett at all.  He looked impressive last year against inferior talent and struggled to do much against better SEC teams.  He had a great game against Alabama.  Without that game, he would be entering this season with a huge question mark. 

Also, I like Therezie.  I think he has the potential to be one of the better Auburn players to ever step foot on campus.  He's all over the field, and he's not getting a whole lot of help.  If Mett is forced to throw, I think he'll be overconfident that he can take advantage of our secondary.  Therezie can get a pick or get a pass breakup at a crucial time. 

I like our defensive line.  They aren't very consistent, but they've shown potential.  They'll have to step it up a notch, and I doubt our young guys can do that.  However, Dee Ford should be 100% this week.  We have to get penetration into the backfield. 
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Re: Odds of Beating LSU
« Reply #10 on: September 17, 2013, 09:11:55 PM »
This is one of those games I'll just watch and see what happens.
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Re: Odds of Beating LSU
« Reply #11 on: September 17, 2013, 09:47:58 PM »
This is one of those games I'll just watch and see what happens.

Nick Marshall says that you plan is a good one.  You really think LSU has a chance against this?

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Re: Odds of Beating LSU
« Reply #12 on: September 17, 2013, 10:10:04 PM »
I believe we lose this one, but it'll be closer than some think.
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Re: Odds of Beating LSU
« Reply #13 on: September 17, 2013, 10:20:08 PM »
Key word in the other post was CAN not will. I agree with THS. SLOWING that run game will be key. If we can equal last years success against the run then yeah we absolutely have a shot. However, we also desperately need to continue to buck up inside the 20. I think they will get some yards. Everyone has so far. However, can we keep out of the endzone and continue to improve as the game wears on? If we keep them around 20 I think we can win. Not quite sure if were ready to walk in there and put a 30 on the board though.
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Re: Odds of Beating LSU
« Reply #14 on: September 17, 2013, 10:22:11 PM »
10-2...with losses to LSU and Florida Atlantic.

1.  Auburn beats LSU and either Georgia or Alabama.

&

I think Auburn's D will slow down LSU's running game enough to where Miles will begin to call dumbass passing plays and Therezie houses one of his two ints. Auburn will be able to get enough of a running game going to cause Chavis to put extra men in the box which will open up the passing game. Marcus Davis & Sammie Coates will have a really good game. Auburn wins 28-24.

Auburn is 6-0 going into the aTm game
« Last Edit: September 17, 2013, 10:31:24 PM by The Prowler »
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