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Realistic expectations

Realistic expectations
« on: January 14, 2011, 06:55:28 PM »
So correct me if i'm wrong but is a 8 or 9 win season unreasonable? thoughts>
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jmar

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Re: Realistic expectations
« Reply #1 on: January 14, 2011, 07:20:13 PM »
I'll only say this on the fly after a quick glance not taking anything into account or knowing what we have or what might show up as a pure homer.

W over Utah St. eh
W at Clemson- phuk 'em
W over FL Atl.  but a trick game
 L at So Car.
 L at Arky
 Toss-up at home with UF- still scrambling?
 L at LSU Corndog's revenge
 W over Ole Miss
 W over Samford
 Toss-up at UGA
 open
 L Bama

That's six wins, allowing for two  more with the toss-ups, six getting us to a bowl for another possible win...uh yeah it could happen.but I think 7 seven regular season wins would be my sight unseen opening prediction.

« Last Edit: January 14, 2011, 09:03:27 PM by jmar »
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djsimp

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Re: Realistic expectations
« Reply #2 on: January 14, 2011, 08:39:24 PM »
I'll wait till after spring game to make a prediction.
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No Huddle

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Re: Realistic expectations
« Reply #3 on: January 14, 2011, 10:23:09 PM »
I would be surprised if y'all lost more than three games. UGA will suck and Arky will not give anyone as much trouble as they did this year. So. Car is a tough one to read. LSU and Alabama will be good games but three is the most.
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"So I want everybody to think here for a second, how much does this game mean to you? 'Cause if it means something to you, you can't stand still. You understand? You play fast! You play strong! You go out there and dominate the man you're playing against, and you make his ass quit! That's our trademark! That's our M.O.... as a team! That's what people know us as!" ~ Nick Saban

Re: Realistic expectations
« Reply #4 on: January 14, 2011, 11:06:35 PM »
I would be surprised if y'all lost more than three games. UGA will suck and Arky will not give anyone as much trouble as they did this year. So. Car is a tough one to read. LSU and Alabama will be good games but three is the most.

I don't know.  Arkansas' 2nd string QB looked like the second coming of Joe Montagna against us.
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The Prowler

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Re: Realistic expectations
« Reply #5 on: January 14, 2011, 11:22:02 PM »
(8-3/9-2) going into the Iron Bowl.
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"Patriotism and popularity are the beaten paths for power and tyranny." Good, no worries about tyranny w/ Trump

"Alabama's Special Teams unit is made up of Special Ed students." - Daniel Tosh

"The HUNH does cause significant Health and Safety issues, Health issues for the opposing fans and Safety issues for the opposing coaches." - AU AD Jay Jacobs

jmar

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Re: Realistic expectations
« Reply #6 on: January 14, 2011, 11:36:11 PM »
(8-3/9-2) going into the Iron Bowl.
If we could start as highly ranked as Alabama, we could be 8-3 or 9-2 and have a chance to repeat...but we aren't Alabama, and nobody dominates like the Tide.
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The Prowler

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Re: Realistic expectations
« Reply #7 on: January 15, 2011, 12:17:33 AM »
If we could start as highly ranked as Alabama, we could be 8-3 or 9-2 and have a chance to repeat...but we aren't Alabama, and nobody dominates like the Tide.
SPuat's fall this year will hurt more than this past season's fall.  I wish they'd go ahead and move Oklahoma outta the way and put SPuat #1....It would make it that much more enjoyable to watch their fanbase come apart when they lose their first game.
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"Patriotism and popularity are the beaten paths for power and tyranny." Good, no worries about tyranny w/ Trump

"Alabama's Special Teams unit is made up of Special Ed students." - Daniel Tosh

"The HUNH does cause significant Health and Safety issues, Health issues for the opposing fans and Safety issues for the opposing coaches." - AU AD Jay Jacobs

djsimp

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Re: Realistic expectations
« Reply #8 on: January 15, 2011, 01:10:44 AM »
(8-3/9-2) going into the Iron Bowl.
Actually, even though Prowler is an extremist, I would agree. Auburn is set up for at least a 9 win season. For all of ye whom don't understand, well I say fuck-off, only time will tell.
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JR4AU

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Re: Realistic expectations
« Reply #9 on: January 15, 2011, 01:27:32 AM »
McElroy is no comparison to Cam, but he's been their trigger man for 2 seasons and he leaves the job to a guy with little playing time, and no meaningful snaps and over all bammer is losing at least as much talent as we are, and they're coming off a 10-3 season yet predicting a NC.  Auburn, meanwhile, will be lucky to win 7.  Go figure. 
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The Prowler

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Re: Realistic expectations
« Reply #10 on: January 15, 2011, 01:31:49 AM »
Actually, even though Prowler is an extremist, I would agree. Auburn is set up for at least a 9 win season. For all of ye whom don't understand, well I say fuck-off, only time will tell.
I'm not an extremist, I'm more of a realist.  Two years ago, Coach Chizik's first year I said (7-5/8-4) pre-season.  This past year I said (9-3/10-2) pre-season, after the Clemson game I said Undefeated going into the Iron Bowl.  I could see what this team could do when they weren't screwing themselves over with turnovers and I knew that this Coaching Staff would get that shit straightened out.
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"Patriotism and popularity are the beaten paths for power and tyranny." Good, no worries about tyranny w/ Trump

"Alabama's Special Teams unit is made up of Special Ed students." - Daniel Tosh

"The HUNH does cause significant Health and Safety issues, Health issues for the opposing fans and Safety issues for the opposing coaches." - AU AD Jay Jacobs

The Prowler

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Re: Realistic expectations
« Reply #11 on: January 15, 2011, 01:46:56 AM »
McElroy is no comparison to Cam, but he's been their trigger man for 2 seasons and he leaves the job to a guy with little playing time, and no meaningful snaps and over all bammer is losing at least as much talent as we are, and they're coming off a 10-3 season yet predicting a NC.  Auburn, meanwhile, will be lucky to win 7.  Go figure. 
The SPuat Defense is the only difference, they'll have just about everyone coming back.

Losing
QB - Auburn and SPuat
RB - SPuat
Star WR - SPuat
TE - SPuat
LT - Auburn and SPuat (Moseley or Greene will move over to LT)
LG - Auburn
C - Auburn
RG - Auburn

DE - Auburn (backups are experienced)
DT - Auburn and SPuat
DT - Auburn (backups are experienced)
OLB - Auburn (backups are experienced)
MLB - Auburn
CB - Auburn (backups are experienced)
S - Auburn and SPuat

I'm not counting Aaron Savage as a missing player, because his backup is more than just experienced.
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"Patriotism and popularity are the beaten paths for power and tyranny." Good, no worries about tyranny w/ Trump

"Alabama's Special Teams unit is made up of Special Ed students." - Daniel Tosh

"The HUNH does cause significant Health and Safety issues, Health issues for the opposing fans and Safety issues for the opposing coaches." - AU AD Jay Jacobs

jmar

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Re: Realistic expectations
« Reply #12 on: January 15, 2011, 08:57:44 AM »
I'll only say this on the fly after a quick glance not taking anything into account or knowing what we have or what might show up as a pure homer.

W over Utah St. eh
W at Clemson- phuk 'em
W over FL Atl.  but a trick game
 L at So Car.
 L at Arky
 Toss-up at home with UF- still scrambling?
 L at LSU Corndog's revenge
 W over Ole Miss
 W over Samford
 Toss-up at UGA
 open
 L Bama

That's six wins, allowing for two  more with the toss-ups, six getting us to a bowl for another possible win...uh yeah it could happen.but I think 7 seven regular season wins would be my sight unseen opening prediction.

I don't think predicting seven wins this early is conceeding a phuking thing especially with the loses on both sides of the ball, mainly in the trenches.

S.C. and Arky are back to back road games before the halfway mark immediately catching Muschamp then off for a Louisiana excursion. Bama is last but not least. Forget UF, I already counted them in the win column.

But those 4 games together are the daunting task (emotionally) for any team even if Florida is a bump in the road. Can Grimes get the fat raise to stay and gel a bunch of rookies? Not to forget that for all of the "unproven", even less experience exists. That's why I said late in this year that we will find out more about Gene Chizik from the coming season...and so far it's a perfect match.


And I agreed with Eneq that 8 or 9 is possible...just add one win or more from those below.   

Columbia,SC.  ret.8 off/6 def 
Fayetteville,AR.  ret.6 off/7 def 
Baton Rouge,LA.  ret.8 off/7 def. and
Alabama  ret.6 off/10 def.6/10 @ AUBURN

Furthermore: It would not surprise me to see Mettenberger give LSU what it lacks. Jefferson will either play back-up, share duties or go the way of our own Kodi Burns. I'm not convinced that McCarron can outright beat out Simms at Bama.

MSU-Relf is mosly a run guy that can throw enough on a deep team
SC-Garcia is the SEC veteran on the most polished offense 
UGA-Murray had a sub-par bowl game but can run and throw when Nick isn't gnawing on him
Arky-Wilson/Mitchell at least WE think it's Wilson but there must be two or three others better
Tennessee-Bray/Simms Bray looks like the guy that can move the Vol offense that now lacks WRs
FL-Brantley/Reed  Who the hell knows? Brantley is staying so I guess it's a pro-style conv. for the Gators

not to forget:

Ole Miss returns 9 on off/3 def    no Masoli
KY returns 6off/10def     Hartline,Locke and Matthews gone
Vandy returns 10 on off/8 def    Larry Smith is back
« Last Edit: January 15, 2011, 02:57:15 PM by jmar »
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Re: Realistic expectations
« Reply #13 on: January 15, 2011, 11:13:29 AM »
McElroy is no comparison to Cam, but he's been their trigger man for 2 seasons and he leaves the job to a guy with little playing time, and no meaningful snaps a bruised ass and over all bammer is losing at least as much talent as we are, and they're coming off a 10-3 season yet predicting a NC.  Auburn, meanwhile, will be lucky to win 7.  Go figure.

FTFY
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Jumbo

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Re: Realistic expectations
« Reply #14 on: January 15, 2011, 01:37:34 PM »
I bet a Bammer last night $100 that Auburn would win 7 games. He was saying we would win 4 next year. I let him know we both were starting over at Qb, he let me know that A.J. was miles better than Greg....championship.
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djsimp

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Re: Realistic expectations
« Reply #15 on: January 15, 2011, 02:34:00 PM »
I bet a Bammer last night $100 that Auburn would win 7 games. He was saying we would win 4 next year. I let him know we both were starting over at Qb, he let me know that A.J. was miles better than Greg....championship.

Yeah, I love those bammer facts. If AJ is that much better, why wasn't he the starter for the tahd?
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Jumbo

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Re: Realistic expectations
« Reply #16 on: January 15, 2011, 04:52:56 PM »
Yeah, I love those bammer facts. If AJ is that much better, why wasn't he the starter for the tahd?
The wait till next yea smack always cracks me up.
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djsimp

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Re: Realistic expectations
« Reply #17 on: January 15, 2011, 05:54:41 PM »
The wait till next yea smack always cracks me up.

The cousin grinders have become real pros at this over the last decade.
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JR4AU

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Re: Realistic expectations
« Reply #18 on: January 16, 2011, 01:42:27 AM »
I bet a Bammer last night $100 that Auburn would win 7 games. He was saying we would win 4 next year. I let him know we both were starting over at Qb, he let me know that A.J. was miles better than Greg....championship.

Ever think to ask a that bammer why their genius coach is letting a guy that good ride the pine while McElroy is playing?  Don't sound very genius to me.
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Jumbo

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Re: Realistic expectations
« Reply #19 on: January 16, 2011, 07:53:50 AM »
The cousin grinders have become real pros at this over the last decade.
They don't know shit.
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